Occam wrote:
MaryB wrote:
Blame away but political blame has nothing to do with the ever increasing "100 year" storms that seem to be hitting all of the country. The weather pattern is changing and man may not be 100% behind it but the extra carbon in the air is contributing to it in part. We may be hastening a natural process or we may be causing it, either way we need to find a solution that doesn't involve burning fossil fuels of any kind. Technology to stretch shrinking resources is helping but not enough is being done to make it affordable to the average American. Would I buy a 3 wheel ultra efficient commuter(enclosed for weather protection so no motorcycles) for general use? Heck yes if it was affordable. Most of my trips don't require carrying cargo other than a few bags of groceries so it would be useful. For the few trips requiring heavy cargo carrying make truck rental cheap enough that people will rent instead of buy. The big key is affordable, fast enough for longer trips on the interstate etc. Worry about heavier vehicles can be solved with the use of separate lanes so the chance of getting squished is reduced.
Occam wrote:
While some of these particular specific preditions were not central tenets of AGW, unforeseeable secondary effects of rapid climate change are expected and will become more defined in the coming decades.
Global Warming to Bring More Intense Storms to Northern Hemisphere in Winter and Southern Hemisphere Year Round
ScienceDaily (Oct. 25, 2010) — Weather systems in the Southern and Northern hemispheres will respond differently to global warming, according to an MIT atmospheric scientist's analysis that suggests the warming of the planet will affect the availability of energy to fuel extratropical storms, or large-scale weather systems that occur at Earth's middle latitudes. The resulting changes will depend on the hemisphere and season, the study found.
www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/10/101025152249.htm
Arctic Report Card: Region Continues to Warm at Unprecedented Rate
ScienceDaily (Oct. 22, 2010) — The Arctic region, also called the "planet's refrigerator," continues to heat up, affecting local populations and ecosystems as well as weather patterns in the most populated parts of the Northern Hemisphere, according to a team of 69 international scientists.
.....There is also evidence that the effect of higher air temperatures in the Arctic atmosphere in fall is contributing to changes in the atmospheric circulation in both the Arctic and northern mid-latitudes[that is us]. Winter 2009-2010 showed a link between mid-latitude extreme cold and snowy weather events and changes in the wind patterns of the Arctic, related to a phase of the Arctic Oscillation
And again this year, we have an inversion of the Arctic Oscillation: warming the Arctic and bringing extreme cold down to the north US and freezing temperatures into the south.
www.msnbc.msn.com/id/34746400/ns/weather/
nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/
The loss of the Arctic Icecap is of course disrupting weather patterns.
Extremely damaging to agriculture. This even caused a large fish kill in Maryland according to JDeere.
LOL! Let the Spin begin; all predicted by climate scientists no doubt? Meteorologists understand the AO quite well; no need to wait for back pedaling.
Where were the predictions for increasing snow and cold during NH winter? There weren't any, it was just the opposite; they make it up as they go along. I told you temperatures were going to crash and by March you'd be singing a different tune; wow was I wrong about that, it's only the second week of January and the spin cycle on High.
There is nothing unusual or outside natural variation going on despite how many alarmist news articles quoting agenda driven scientists. The hype today is no different than the 70s ice age scare, just infinitely more funding to sell the stories. Where is the evidence to support a death spiral of the Arctic? Opinions really aren't all that meaningful especially when the same ones were telling us snow would be a thing of the past.
Data Analysis of Recent Warming Pattern in the Arctic
Abstract
In this study, we investigate the mechanism of the arctic
warming pattern in surface air temperature (SAT) and sea ice concentrations
over the last two decades in comparison with global
warming since the 1970s.
According to the analysis result, it is found that the patterns of
SAT and sea ice before 1989 are mostly determined by the Arctic
Oscillation (AO) in winter. In contrast, arctic warming patterns
after 1989 are characterized by the intensification of the Beaufort
High and the reduced sea-ice concentrations in summer induced
by the positive ice-albedo feedback.
It is concluded that the arctic warming before 1989 especially
in winter was explained by the positive trend of the AOI. Moreover
the intensified Beaufort High and the drastic decrease of the
sea ice concentrations in September after 1989 were associated
with the recent negative trend of the AOI. Since the decadal variation
of the AO is recognized as the natural variability of the global
atmosphere, it is shown that both of decadal variabilities before
and after 1989 in the Arctic can be mostly explained by the natural
variability of the AO not by the external response due to the
human activity.
You do realize the Arctic SAT during melt season are dropping? How can that be? There is zero direct evidence that CO2 has any connection to Arctic weather/climate. Also, if the Arctic is at the "tipping point", why isn't OHC increasing? In fact it has been steady from 65N-90 and falling in the Arctic circle (82N-90) in recent years. Arctic warming is not "accelerating" nor "unprecedented" as AGW proponents like to say.
climexp.knmi.nl/selectfield_obs.cgi?someone@somewhere
Also, it may be helpful to study the various ocean/atmosphere processes that actually affect earth's climate that can be measured. Comparing CO2 to the oceans is like pitting a ballerina against a sumo wrestler in a cage match.
The AMO (ocean) is at or near peaking. What makes anyone think the curve will continue upward?
BTW, climate disruption is now out. The new PC term is climate challenge. Spread the word.